See article (linked below) for complete:
"This story is of vital importance in current events because RT-PCR tests are what’s being used as the standard COVID test, yet the problem of pseudo-epidemics is hardly being discussed. Rapid testing to see if you have a virus is a very new capability, which is one reason the world has struggled with scaling up test capacity.
“The big message is that every lab is vulnerable to having false positives,” Dr. Petti said. “No single test result is absolute and that is even more important with a test result based on P.C.R.”
This is hardly a controversial statement; it’s true for most kinds of scientific measurement. But despite being an anodyne and obvious claim, in the case of COVID it has not only become a controversial idea — it has been entirely rejected by governments and the medical establishment. Worse still, anyone who raises questions about
the true severity of COVID tends to get an answer of, “I guess you don’t care about
the hundreds of thousands of deaths it caused”. But if the tests are wrong then so are death counts, and thus this sort of answer is missing the point."
......
"Test positive? You’ve got the virus, end of story. Feel fine? Irrelevant, it’s an asymptomatic infection. No antibodies? Doesn’t matter, surely you’ll have them soon. Never develop antibodies but start testing negative anyway? How mysterious, perhaps you have a new form of immunity previously unknown to science. Test positive, then negative, then positive? Terrifying: the body must not develop immunity like it does for other viruses. How about
negative, positive, negative, positive, negative? Well, we’ll call that a positive just to be safe. Symptoms stopped months ago but the positive tests keep coming? It can’t be the test, you’ll just have to stay confined indefinitely. And so on.
Many of the explanations being put forward for COVID PCR timeseries require new medical theories to be invented on the spot, some of which are absurd. This is exactly what would be expected to happen in an environment where a noisy test has been mandated to be interpreted as error free. There’s a large and growing amount of evidence that COVID testing may be unreliable, just like it was at Dartmouth-Hitchcock and other places. But stripped of their ability to say “that’s a false positive” by the monopoly of a test for which no other ground truth exists, public health bodies have become increasingly erratic. In 2006 the only thing that saved them from believing they’d controlled a non-existent epidemic was an accurate ground truth test. Without that the medical experts would have come to resemble schizophrenics, believing they were fighting an invisible undefeatable enemy that they saw signs of everywhere even though it wasn’t real. And the longer it went on for, and the more disruptive their actions became, the harder it’d have become to accept the truth — that they’d shut down the hospital and endangered patients for nothing.
That’s why in 2007 the staff told their story, to warn us of the dangers of PCR. But it didn’t work; their warnings went unheard.
To be clear, I’m not arguing today that COVID-19 is a pseudo-epidemic of the severity seen at Dartmouth-Hitchcock. For that to be true there’d have to be no true COVID cases anywhere at all, and that would require explaining the spikes in excess mortality seen in some countries, the unusual breathing difficulties and so on. It’s a topic for another day. For now, let’s observe that quite a lot of countries have actually seen no excess deaths whatsoever, even when claiming e.g. 200,000 cases. For example, Germany:"
Shows chart.
"And also Austria, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Luxembourg, Malta and Norway, to name just a few. The question of why some countries have seen cases without excess deaths and others saw spikes is of course a hotly debated mystery, but each essay has limited space, so today I’d rather talk about
false positives."
....
"COVID times have crushed my faith in government and academic health expertise, probably forever. So many problems have occurred, like modellers driving government policy despite being unable to actually program computers or predict epidemics. But one of the most depressing problems is the apparently universal assumption that false positives aren’t important and lockdowns are free.
Given current definitions COVID-19 will never end. People will be dying of it forever, even if the virus disappears completely. Worse still, the system is locked in a series of feedback loops — if something causes test numbers to rise then so will case numbers, which in turn will cause a further increase in testing, causing the rise to continue, triggering local lockdowns and pointless evidence free rituals, until people get depressed and stop trying to do things causing numbers being tested to fall again."
https://blog.plan99.net/pseudo-epidemics-7603b2da839