Newporter said...
Thank you for sharing the pomegranate study. A few comments:
1. I don't understand why the study was biased towards extract and left very few patients on juice? There were 84 patients on placebo, 102 on extract and only 17 on juice. No wonder the results of the juice group is considered statistically non significant. 17 is barely the minimum number for statistical study once one considered attrition.
2. It seemed to be poorly designed: The striation of patient types are just way too diverse so every subgroup did not have sufficient numbers to be statistically significant as each subgroup (e.g. staging) had very few numbers.
3. In a statistically non significant way, the juice group showed a lot of promises: an increase from 12.7 at baseline to 20.3 in the juice group (P=0.004). Unfortunately, since they only had 17 patients to begin and 5 dropped out leaving only 12 patients in the study which by itself cannot form a statistically significant group.
4. For example: An additional analysis was performed in patients who received a minimum of 12 months of blinded treatment to determine whether length of treatment had any additional impact on PSADT. Median PSADT increased 3.5 months in Placebo patients from 12.2 at baseline to 15.7 months (P<0.0001), 18 months from 16.1 at baseline to 34.1 months in juice patients (P=0.05) and 5.6 months from 13.9 at baseline to 19.5 months in Extract patients (P=0.0003). Notice the juice group increased the PSADT from 16.1 months to 34.1 months, very similar to the prior UCLA and Johns Hopkins studies. To a non professional I think there are something in the juice that was not extracted to include in the extracts.
In my non professional opinion, the juice group warrant a further study. However, since it is non proprietary I doubt anyone would support such a study as there is most likely no profit in it.
I was wondering about
many of the same things, Newporter, and was about
to post such when I saw your post. 1st I was curious about
why the 2:1 ratio between extract and placebo. And then I was even more curious about
this small item called "juice" which seemed to show a rather impressive increase in doubling time. So why was that chosen to be BY FAR the smallest group to be tested?
I'm always sorry to hear about
results like this only because, though I have not yet ever really explored the Pomegranate thingy, would it not surely be nice to find various natural approaches that would help even a little?
However, let the facts fall where they fall, so be it. Still, in all studies, by whoever, bias must be considered. Anti-Pom or anti-natural bias seems unlikely in this case since at least a couple of the folks of(of many) involved in this study were funded by Pom Wonderful. Still, I am convinced that bias often influences studies.
For one example, the recent big news on the network news was the new study that finally proved- SCIENTIFICALLY! - that just as much(actually more) fat is burned with a 2 week low fat diet approach as with a 2 week low carb approach. And apparently pure science- finally!- because the subjects were locked away in a metabolic lab and their food intake strictly controlled and fat loss actually measured. At last we can know the truth! I saw this reported numerous times on TV and several times in other news sources.
I decided to try and find details of the actual study, which required a bit of digging. And sure enough, without going into details here(unless requested) I found that this was about
as sorry a study as could have been performed. Since I'm pretty sure that the people who did the study - being science folks and all- understood how a low carb diet is supposed to work, it almost seems as though the study was purposely designed so that the low carb approach had no chance of working. I found 3 or 4 items that disqualified this test from being an actual low carb diet test, i.e. several rules of low carb dieting were clearly broken. Thus, I smelled huge bias. But no matter, the news is out there. "Science" has spoken, and it clearly shows just as much(or more) fat is burned in a 2 week low fat diet as on a 2 week low carb diet. One headline was: "New Study Says Low-Fat Diet Trumps Low-Carb...". IMO, not really. What a good opportunity was missed to get at the truth, either way.
But the bigger point is: why? Why would these science types, while going to all this trouble and expense to do this study, and bring in 19 participants to live in the “metabolic ward”, then structure the low carb end of the study so that several low carb rules were not followed, guaranteeing poor results? What would be the reason for that? Some form of bias is all that I can come up with.
Back OT: NOT that I am suggesting such a thing for this POM study, even though I admit I am curious about
the item that showed the best results, "juice", being dwarfed in number of participants compared to extract and placebo, and why placebo is approx. 1/2 extract in N? (is that right? Am I reading all that wrong?) If correct, that does raise a red flag for me, but it could well be just something I don't understand about
how these studies are structured. Curious though. But I am saying that all studies have to be watched for bias, or at least I will try to do that even if others find it unimportant.
In the meantime, too bad about
the POM, my bias towards things natural that might help health makes me wish it had been the opposite! I am biased! Beware of any studies that I am involved in!
Somebody said...
Results:
One-hundred eighty-three eligible subjects were randomly assigned to the active and placebo groups with a ratio of 2:1 (extract N=102; placebo N=64; juice N=17).....................Median PSADT increased from 11.1 months at baseline to 15.6 months in the placebo group (P<0.001) compared with an increase from 12.9 months at baseline to 14.5 months in the extract group (P=0.13) and an increase from 12.7 at baseline to 20.3 in the juice group (P=0.004).........
Post Edited (BillyBob@388) : 8/18/2015 7:52:00 AM (GMT-6)