NKinney said...
lifeguyd said...
Over 35% of surgery patients have a chemical reoccurrence within 10 years.
First of all, I recognized that the question you ask might be answered/replied-to on many different "levels." I'll pick one...
What I believe is NOT "relevant," or meaningful, is the statistic you quoted above. I do believe it is probably correct...but it is not relevant.
Every patient's INDIVIDUAL case characteristics ARE relevant to their individual treatment choice. Those case characteristics are often aggregated together in the NCCN Risk Category.
So, for example, LOW-RISK CASES are the most frequently occurring case. The majority of men in this category seek an agrressive treatment (surgery
or radiation) despite the undisputed evidence that treatment does NOTHING to prolong their lives. There are a small percentage of men initially categorized as LOW-RISK who undergo an aggressive treatment (surgery
or radiation) who then progress to a higher-risk category.
On the opposite end of the spectrum is HIGH-RISK CASES (such as yours). While this is a small percentage of all newly diagnosed cases, in direct response to your question there are reasons for men in this category to pursue surgery as their primary (first) treatment...but it depends on the specific details of their individual cases, not one-size-fits-all. For example. in some cases of advanced disease it may be appropriate to "de-bulk" the tumor—to surgically remove as much as possible first—before moving on to other supplementary treatments which are typically needed for HIGH-RISK CASES. For others in this risk category, particularly those with characteristics on the lower-end, they may to roll-the-dice for the possibility of a complete cure with surgery (placing a bet that the PC has NOT spread). That probability is low but not zero, and so some in this category may feel it is worth the risk. Individual case characteristics matter, even within a risk category.
It's those in the middle risk category, the INTERMEDIATE-RISK CASES, and particularly those in the unfavorable (4+3) half of this category for whom that probability (of a complete cure by surgery) is more "relevant" to consider. The additional details of one's individual case, including but not limited to age, will also be relevant to the treatment choice.
Your original question implies a one-size-fits-all approach. Wrong approach...for everyone.Good points. I was in that category which rolls the dice, hoping against the odds for a surgical cure. Based on my vastly experienced surgeons DRE combined with the various tests. G9 or not, he felt there was a fair chance of still being contained. I was not.
OK, but here is a question: what are the #s showing as to my chances of survival for 5-10 years had I chosen RT(and radiated the margins) instead, compared to surgery? (5yr/96.4%, 10yr/89.5% for surgery, high risk guys in one large study) Are they equal or maybe even superior for RT?(pretty darn high already for surgery)
What are the odds of PC specific survival at 15, 20 and 25 years comparatively for RT(for high risk:82.0%, 72.9%, and 68.8%, respectively for surgery from same study)? I don't think we even have those studies for RT yet, do we? Certainly not for 20 and 25 years.
Notice these #s are for PC specific survival, not BCR. These #s are pretty darn good IMO, but I suspect the most current 5-15 year #s are at least as good and maybe better for RT. I guess we can't know yet about
15 yr+. But I'm pretty sure the early SEs are much less devastating, and maybe even the later SEs, on average anyway. Not that horrible SEs can't happen even with RT, but I think the % is much lower.
But having these immediate- and probably for a lifetime- SEs from surgery, I would do it different unless the #s wre way better for surgery. If I could of known then what I know now, I would not be having that surgery. I would take my chances on the RT. And since I would have also radiated my margins, my odds would probably be even better, at least for the next 5 or 10 years. And the odds are that those 5 or 10 years would have been more pleasant ones. IMHO, just based on the prism through which I now see things, I don't think I could ever vote for surgery. I do not see the advantage for me.